[escepticos] desafío climático

[Javier Armentia]

Interesante desafío para "escépticos" (negacionistas) del cambio climático
en FiveThirtyEight.com.
Es una pena que solo esté abierto a estadounidenses, aunque podríamos montar
uno similar por la corrala, independientemente de si se lleva alpargatas o
no, por supuesto:

because I'd like to see more accountability on all sides of this debate and
because I'm tired of
people<http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/02/george-f-will-takes-on-science-loses.html>who
don't understand
statistics <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance> and because I'd like to
make some money, I issue the following challenge.

You are eligible for this challenge if:

1. You live in the United States and provide me with your home address and
telephone number (I will provide you with mine) and,
2. You are a regular (at least once weekly) contributor to a political,
economics or science blog with an Alexa traffic global
ranking<http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/powerlineblog.com>of 50,000 or
lower.

The reason for the latter requirement is because I want to be able to
shame/humiliate you if you back out of the challenge or refuse to pay, as
I'd assume you'd do the same with me.

The rules of the challenge are as follows:

1. For each day that the high temperature in your hometown is at least 1
degree Fahrenheit above average, as listed by Weather
Underground<http://www.wunderground.com/>,
you owe me $25. For each day that it is at least 1 degree Fahrenheit below
average, I owe you $25.
2. The challenge proceeds in monthly intervals, with the first month being
August. At the end of each month, we'll tally up the winning and losing days
and the loser writes the winner a check for the balance.
3. The challenge automatically rolls over to the next month until/unless:
(i) one party informs the other by the 20th of the previous month that he
would like to discontinue the challenge (that is, if you want to discontinue
the challenge for September, you'd have to tell me this by August 20th), or
(ii) the losing party has failed to pay the winning party in a timely
fashion, in which case the challenge may be canceled at the sole discretion
of the winning party.

Any takers? You can reach me by clicking the 'Contact' button at the top of
the page.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/07/challenge-to-climate-change-skeptics.html

Saludos

jarmentia