[escepticos] Modelo matemático sobre propagación de tratamientos de medicina alternativa
Cibernesto
cibernesto en homowebensis.com
Mie Abr 15 12:47:41 WEST 2009
Me ha parecido curioso.
Aquí se puede ver el trabajo:
http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0005192#abstract0
A continuación pego el abstract:
Complementary medicines, traditional remedies and home cures for medical
ailments are used extensively world-wide, representing more than US$60
billion sales in the global market. With serious doubts about the
efficacy and safety of many treatments, the industry remains steeped in
controversy. Little is known about factors affecting the prevalence of
efficacious and non-efficacious self-medicative treatments. Here we
develop mathematical models which reveal that the most efficacious
treatments are not necessarily those most likely to spread. Indeed,
purely superstitious remedies, or even maladaptive practices, spread
more readily than efficacious treatments under specified circumstances.
Low-efficacy practices sometimes spread because their very
ineffectiveness results in longer, more salient demonstration and a
larger number of converts, which more than compensates for greater rates
of abandonment. These models also illuminate a broader range of
phenomena, including the spread of innovations, medical treatment of
animals, foraging behaviour, and self-medication in non-human primates.
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